Ibec says the economy could grow by 3% this year
The Irish Business and Employers’ Confederation, Ibec, has said it believes that the economy could grow by almost 3% this year and that thousands of jobs will be created.
In its economic forecast the group referred to figures for Gross Domestic Product, which measures the total output of the economy, such as the value of work done by employees, companies and the self-employed.
Ibec predicts that GDP will grow by 2.9%, consumer spending by 1.9% and investment by 21% during 2014.
The figures are more bullish than Central Bank forecast issued on Friday, which predicted economic growth of 2% buoyed by 1% growth in consumer spending and 11% growth in investment.
Meanwhile Ibec predicts employment will grow by around 50,000 and that unemployment will drop to 10.9%, almost half a percentage point below the Central Bank forecast.
Ibec chief economist Fergal O’Brien said the effect of patent expiries in the pharmaceutical industry wiped around €5bn from the value of Irish exports last year.
He said this was largely responsible for the 0.3% fall in GDP in 2013, despite the strong gains in employment in the same period, which he says is a better indicator of the health of the economy.
Ibec said GDP figures for last year were poor and did not reflect the true strength of the real economy.
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